Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 61.142654 69.422737 77.952310 87.362553 97.421116 107.820395 119.354419
2025-03-23 49.462227 61.356117 74.216550 89.020230 105.461346 123.042886 143.149081
2025-03-30 42.630774 56.557823 72.163910 90.669557 111.754560 134.795882 161.650498
2025-04-06 36.200035 51.274317 68.748107 90.035985 114.842170 142.455421 175.150441
2025-04-13 30.238139 45.816455 64.499441 87.861326 115.661376 147.131524 184.919987
2025-04-20 27.919650 44.545192 64.998502 91.060505 122.534872 158.579081 202.273196
2025-04-27 25.411444 42.743981 64.619052 93.009120 127.780827 168.035122 217.263288
2025-05-04 22.178440 39.657598 62.365119 92.435240 129.824720 173.607104 227.641291
2025-05-11 19.241673 36.680301 60.015036 91.537754 131.309363 178.389535 236.993379
2025-05-18 17.248298 34.840946 59.005394 92.211629 134.623452 185.281467 248.781414
2025-05-25 15.081319 32.524925 57.186497 91.702289 136.357316 190.192341 258.159678
2025-06-01 13.427203 30.820845 56.080788 92.023171 139.055951 196.218857 268.835387
2025-06-08 11.476033 28.459874 53.937351 90.897347 139.897143 199.999167 276.880034
2025-06-15 10.439452 27.502985 53.740088 92.350459 144.025471 207.826593 289.841584
2025-06-22 9.576794 26.747986 53.773838 94.072668 148.473224 216.037050 303.270720
2025-06-29 8.232832 24.965089 52.155986 93.419613 149.753888 220.256602 311.799694
2025-07-06 6.708653 22.614898 49.511378 91.196982 148.865196 221.679451 316.837572
2025-07-13 6.453528 22.739892 50.727734 94.467614 155.290139 232.349715 333.305475
2025-07-20 5.972341 22.338230 51.069615 96.459341 159.994787 240.842772 347.095242
2025-07-27 5.077874 20.919379 49.679573 95.872805 161.181417 244.828580 355.274605
2025-08-03 4.234153 19.455184 48.115418 94.955466 161.864166 248.132179 362.579180
2025-08-10 3.721233 18.679196 47.657296 95.644254 164.719201 254.217939 373.363538
2025-08-17 3.101838 17.503153 46.432351 95.123647 165.869808 258.077252 381.340065